US Elections: Referendum on Trump’s presidency? - Rabobank

Rep. Barbara Comstock is vulnerable in her suburban DC district

Rep. Barbara Comstock is vulnerable in her suburban DC district

Many Democratic candidates in tight races shied away from harsh criticism of Trump, focusing instead on bread-and-butter issues like maintaining insurance protections for people with pre-existing medical conditions and safeguarding the Social Security retirement and Medicare healthcare programs for senior citizens. If Republicans keep their majority, McCarthy could be the next speaker of the House.

Asked about his main fear if Democrats take the House, amid forecasts of a blue wave, Trump said: 'We'll just have to work a little bit differently.

Trump supporters from around the country joined the president and top Trump team figures on a "Lead One Vote to Victory Telephone Town Hall" conference call Monday.

Democratic challenger Beto O'Rourke's campaign against Republican incumbent senator Ted Cruz has become one of the biggest races to watch in the 2018 midterms.

Questioning 1,000 likely voters about their proposed support come election day, 35 percent stated they would vote against the President come election day.

The election near the halfway mark of a president's first term is traditionally a referendum on the White House occupant.

The math in the Senate is better for Republicans.

"By the way, these aren't babies", Trump said in Pensacola, Florida on November 3.

"I look forward to seeing what happens, because something is going on", the president said in Cleveland. "They'll be miserable because they're in the minority". "It's an awakening of the Democratic Party".

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"The latest opinion polls have indicated that the gap between the Democrats and the Republicans have narrowed, although the former are still favourite to take the House with the latter regaining control of the Senate". Aside from Congressional and Senate races, the outcome of a slew of state gubernatorial races will also signal the mood of the electorate two years into Mr Trump's presidency, and two years before he seeks re-election in 2020.

Voters may hear what the nation's gross domestic product is doing - up at an annual rate of 3.5 percent in the third quarter of 2018. And both chambers could take another swing at repealing the Affordable Care Act and possibly help Trump shut down the Mueller investigation.

He noted that some GOP members who faced blowback from constituents on some key agenda items opted to "vote no but hope that the bill passes".

"I feel less comfortable making a prediction today than I have in two decades", Republican pollster Frank Luntz said.

With the monthslong fight serving as a testing ground for his nationalist appeals and the strength of the coalition that powered him to the White House two years ago, Trump closed out a campaign season that has been defined by his racially charged rhetoric, hard-line immigration moves and scattershot policy proposals. "Americans will either want to put a check on Mr Trump or they won't", tweeted Dr Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Centre for Politics.

Trump, without control of Congress, could decide to triangulate. He has been campaigning for the Democratic Party, focusing on preserving the Affordable Care Act and warning of attempts by the Republicans to strip welfare measures to find money to offset the soaring deficit. "But it could be good for Trump - for his own personal political goals". "There's so many things that are pushing this in unconventional ways", Klein said.

"Our economy is beginning to sing", said Trump, who also highlighted massive trade deals: the USMCA with Canada and Mexico and KORUS with South Korea. "I've never been so disappointed in my life".

Although it's not a high-drama presidential election year, Mr. Trump is acknowledging more and more in the final days of this campaign that his agenda is hanging in the balance. "And that becomes the overriding goal".

More Democrats voted early than Republicans in Florida, home to a number of key races, while in Arizona, Republicans' traditional voter-turnout advantage shrank in early voting, according to state statistics.

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